Preston Lions vs Fawkner Blues analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
MEL
0 - 0
PLI
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1993 |
PLI
1 - 0
SYD
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1993 |
ADE
2 - 1
PLI
67%
20%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1993 |
BRI
3 - 0
PLI
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1993 |
PLI
0 - 4
MEL
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fawkner Blues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
FAB
0 - 1
WHZ
34%
25%
42%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |