Preston Lions vs Essendon Royals analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
4.8%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2007 |
SOU
3 - 3
PLI
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
PLI
1 - 0
HEU
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
SGC
0 - 1
PLI
41%
27%
33%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
PLI
1 - 1
WES
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
KIN
0 - 0
PLI
9%
20%
71%
|
51 | 17 | 34 | -1 |
Matches
Essendon Royals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2007 |
ESR
1 - 0
WHZ
47%
24%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
SWE
1 - 2
ESR
39%
25%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2007 |
ESR
2 - 2
COE
36%
25%
39%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
ALM
3 - 2
ESR
48%
24%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
ESR
2 - 1
FAB
66%
19%
14%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |