Preston Lions vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
14.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
21.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+126%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
PLI
3 - 0
MEL
69%
20%
12%
|
78 | 40 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
PLI
5 - 0
POR
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 40 | 37 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
OAK
4 - 0
PLI
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
PLI
1 - 1
AVH
43%
28%
30%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
SOU
2 - 1
PLI
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
POR
0 - 2
DAN
16%
22%
62%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
DAN
3 - 3
OAK
19%
22%
59%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
AVH
1 - 1
DAN
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
SOU
0 - 1
DAN
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
HEU
2 - 0
DAN
62%
21%
16%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |