Prestatyn Town vs Chirk AAA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
12.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
9º
6º
26
12º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prestatyn Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 1
PRE
34%
22%
44%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PRE
1 - 0
GRE
51%
22%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
HOL
1 - 0
PRE
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 2
PRE
14%
17%
70%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PRE
2 - 1
POR
70%
16%
14%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chirk AAA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
COL
2 - 0
AAA
87%
9%
4%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AAA
0 - 0
PEN
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
POR
0 - 5
AAA
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AAA
3 - 1
MOL
38%
22%
41%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AAA
1 - 2
COL
7%
14%
79%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |