Presidente Hayes vs Chore Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Presidente Hayes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
CER
4 - 1
PHA
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
PHA
0 - 1
GEN
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
FER
1 - 1
PHA
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
PHA
1 - 1
PET
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
RÑU
1 - 0
PHA
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chore Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
GEN
1 - 0
CHO
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
CHO
1 - 2
PET
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 1
CHO
42%
26%
31%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
CHO
1 - 0
GEN
54%
24%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2007 |
CER
0 - 2
CHO
59%
23%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |