Premià vs Cf Lloret analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Premià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MON
4 - 0
CEP
31%
26%
43%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CEP
1 - 2
SAN
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CFM
1 - 0
CEP
43%
24%
33%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CEP
4 - 1
PER
44%
25%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 0
CEP
33%
25%
42%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cf Lloret
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CFL
0 - 0
MAN
39%
24%
37%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CFR
1 - 1
CFL
40%
24%
37%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CFL
4 - 1
GUI
29%
25%
45%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CFL
0 - 1
JUN
57%
22%
21%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
CFL
65%
19%
16%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |