Pregnanese vs Castanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
63%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pregnanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 2
PRE
66%
18%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 1
PRE
39%
23%
38%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
PRE
4 - 1
BON
44%
23%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BOL
1 - 2
PRE
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PRE
3 - 1
ARC
52%
22%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Castanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
FOO
72%
17%
12%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
SOL
2 - 3
CAS
27%
23%
50%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
SED
67%
18%
15%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAS
25%
22%
53%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 0
BON
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |