Prainha vs Fayal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prainha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
AGU
1 - 2
PRA
14%
20%
66%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PRA
4 - 0
PRA
80%
14%
7%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
PRA
2 - 1
SCG
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
5 - 0
PRA
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BOA
3 - 1
PRA
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Fayal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
FAY
1 - 1
BOA
26%
24%
50%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
FAY
1 - 2
MIC
37%
24%
39%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
FAY
4 - 4
IDE
16%
21%
64%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LUS
2 - 0
FAY
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
5 - 0
FAY
75%
16%
9%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |