Praiense vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
38.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PRA
3 - 1
MOU
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
5 - 0
PRA
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PRA
0 - 1
ANG
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
UDL
2 - 2
PRA
64%
21%
16%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ADN
2 - 1
PRA
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 1
CAS
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 0
BEN
38%
27%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BEN
0 - 0
UDL
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
COV
2 - 0
BEN
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
UDL
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |