Praiense vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
5 - 0
PRA
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PRA
0 - 1
ANG
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
UDL
2 - 2
PRA
64%
21%
16%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ADN
2 - 1
PRA
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PRA
3 - 0
TOU
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MOU
1 - 2
COV
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
MOU
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MOU
0 - 0
1DE
37%
28%
35%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MOU
1 - 0
LUS
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 0
MOU
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -2 |