Praiense vs Fayal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 3
PRA
10%
18%
72%
|
44 | 12 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
PRA
26%
25%
50%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
PRA
2 - 0
SCG
82%
13%
6%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PRA
4 - 0
PRA
80%
14%
7%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
BOA
0 - 3
PRA
19%
22%
59%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Fayal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
FAY
3 - 0
SCG
31%
24%
45%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PRA
5 - 1
FAY
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
FAY
1 - 1
BOA
26%
24%
50%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
FAY
1 - 2
MIC
37%
24%
39%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
FAY
4 - 4
IDE
16%
21%
64%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +1 |