Praiense vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 2
PRA
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
PRA
2 - 0
OPE
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
LOU
0 - 2
PRA
22%
23%
55%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
REA
1 - 1
PRA
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
PRA
1 - 0
SAC
50%
26%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FAT
2 - 1
SAC
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
FAR
3 - 1
FAT
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
FAT
1 - 2
REA
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FAT
2 - 3
TOR
47%
27%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
OPE
0 - 4
FAT
42%
27%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |