Praiense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
1DE
1 - 1
PRA
17%
23%
61%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 1
PRA
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PRA
1 - 0
LUS
78%
15%
8%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MAF
1 - 0
PRA
52%
24%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
PRA
1 - 0
ELE
80%
14%
7%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 1
ALC
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 0
VIL
34%
27%
40%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
1DE
0 - 1
CAL
30%
27%
42%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAL
3 - 3
LOU
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 0
TOR
34%
28%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |