Praiense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
PRA
3 - 1
FAR
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GDR
2 - 4
PRA
16%
19%
65%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
PRA
2 - 0
LUS
79%
15%
7%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
COI
2 - 5
PRA
28%
24%
48%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ANG
1 - 2
PRA
20%
22%
58%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GDR
2 - 1
CAL
24%
25%
51%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
EST
6%
16%
78%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
ANG
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 0
LUS
68%
21%
11%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAL
20%
24%
57%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | -1 |