PPJ vs NJS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
26.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
9º
7º
23
5º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 31 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 30 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
59% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
23% | 65.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
77% | 34.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PPJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PPJ
2 - 3
GIR
20%
19%
61%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PPJ
8 - 5
TPS
80%
12%
8%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 0
PPJ
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
PPJ
1 - 2
PKK
39%
21%
40%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PPJ
0 - 1
ATL
43%
20%
36%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
NJS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
NJS
0 - 1
GIR
15%
19%
66%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 3
NJS
65%
18%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NJS
5 - 2
PK3
7%
15%
78%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | +3 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
JIP
5 - 1
NJS
77%
16%
7%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NJS
1 - 0
FUT
43%
22%
35%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |