Pouso Alegre vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
46%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pouso Alegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
POA
2 - 3
ATM
2%
14%
84%
|
48 | 90 | 42 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
POA
1 - 1
URT
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
POA
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
POA
0 - 1
AMF
10%
21%
69%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
DEM
1 - 0
POA
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 3
CEU
73%
18%
10%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 2
COT
12%
21%
68%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CIA
3 - 0
PAR
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 0
LON
25%
26%
50%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
PAR
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |