Potros de Barinas vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
18.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potros de Barinas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ZAM
2 - 1
PDB
66%
19%
14%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PDB
0 - 1
ATL
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
PDB
68%
19%
12%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
PDB
1 - 1
FRO
46%
24%
29%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PDB
4 - 2
TIT
33%
25%
43%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
POL
0 - 0
FRO
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
TIT
3 - 0
POL
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
FAL
1 - 1
POL
75%
17%
9%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
POL
1 - 3
ATL
20%
24%
56%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 0
POL
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |