Potiguar Mossoró vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
42.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
POT
3 - 0
POR
55%
24%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2007 |
POR
3 - 3
POT
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
ICA
0 - 0
POT
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
POT
1 - 1
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ABC
1 - 1
POT
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 2
ICA
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2007 |
ICA
0 - 1
NAC
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
ICA
0 - 0
POT
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
POR
2 - 1
ICA
31%
25%
43%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
ICA
0 - 1
FOR
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |