Potiguar Mossoró vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
68.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
VIT
2 - 4
POT
67%
19%
13%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
POT
0 - 0
CEN
28%
23%
49%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
COR
1 - 0
POT
50%
23%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
POT
0 - 0
AFP
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 2
POT
25%
23%
53%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
ABC
0 - 0
CEN
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 3
ABC
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ABC
7 - 0
JAC
87%
10%
3%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 1
ABC
15%
25%
60%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
ABC
1 - 1
ARN
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |