Potiguar EC vs ASSU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potiguar EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ABC
1 - 2
PEC
55%
22%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
PEC
1 - 2
MEC
78%
14%
7%
|
61 | 29 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
POT
2 - 0
PEC
22%
22%
56%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
SGO
1 - 2
PEC
22%
22%
55%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
PEC
3 - 0
ALE
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2006 |
POT
8 - 0
ASS
40%
24%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2006 |
ASS
1 - 1
POT
57%
22%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
ASS
1 - 1
ABC
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
ABC
2 - 2
ASS
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
SGO
0 - 0
ASS
32%
24%
44%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |