Potiguar EC vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potiguar EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 0
PEC
29%
24%
48%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
PEC
1 - 3
ARN
38%
24%
37%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2007 |
ABC
4 - 0
PEC
50%
23%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
PEC
1 - 2
SGO
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
COR
2 - 0
PEC
22%
22%
56%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
ALE
0 - 2
BAR
58%
22%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
COR
0 - 3
ALE
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
ALE
1 - 1
ASS
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
POT
3 - 1
ALE
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
ALE
1 - 3
MEC
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | -1 |