Potiguar EC vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potiguar EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
SGO
1 - 1
PEC
9%
16%
75%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
PEC
2 - 4
ARN
63%
21%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
PEC
1 - 2
ASA
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -3 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
CRB
3 - 0
PEC
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
ADL
2 - 0
PEC
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
ARN
2 - 1
ALE
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
ALE
1 - 3
ABC
28%
24%
49%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1986 |
ALE
0 - 0
COM
27%
28%
45%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1986 |
PAL
3 - 0
ALE
86%
10%
4%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
ALE
1 - 1
VIT
27%
28%
45%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |