Posušje vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
9º
9º
65
2º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 10 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Posušje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
BBL
1 - 0
POS
42%
29%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
POS
1 - 2
ZRI
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
GOS
1 - 2
POS
22%
27%
51%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
POS
2 - 1
IGM
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SLO
0 - 3
POS
29%
29%
43%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
SAR
1 - 1
RAD
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
VEL
2 - 2
SAR
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
SIR
1 - 1
SAR
41%
24%
34%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SAR
0 - 1
SIR
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
SAR
4 - 0
SIR
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |