Posušje vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
53.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
5º
11º
5º
53
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Posušje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SIR
1 - 1
POS
59%
25%
17%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
POS
2 - 2
ZRI
23%
28%
49%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
POS
0 - 0
GOS
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 1
POS
72%
19%
10%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
POS
1 - 1
SLO
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
BBL
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SLO
3 - 0
SAR
18%
24%
58%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
IGM
1 - 2
SAR
12%
22%
65%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
BBL
1 - 1
SAR
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 0
ZEL
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |