Post vs Aspern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.9%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
REN
0 - 0
POS
25%
23%
52%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
POS
3 - 1
MAN
73%
17%
11%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
ICF
1 - 3
POS
46%
24%
31%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
POS
4 - 0
SCF
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
GER
1 - 3
POS
23%
23%
54%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Aspern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
DON
4 - 0
SVA
86%
11%
4%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
SVA
1 - 6
REN
13%
18%
70%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 1
SVA
85%
11%
4%
|
7 | 23 | 16 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SVA
0 - 4
ICF
11%
18%
71%
|
7 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
SCF
4 - 0
SVA
83%
12%
5%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | 0 |