Post vs Rapid Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
77.7%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.8%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1937 |
POS
3 - 2
SWW
20%
21%
59%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1937 |
VIE
4 - 2
POS
86%
10%
5%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1937 |
RAP
6 - 2
POS
95%
4%
2%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
POS
0 - 2
FAC
26%
23%
52%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1937 |
FAV
0 - 1
POS
84%
10%
6%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 1941 |
RAP
3 - 5
ADM
80%
11%
9%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1941 |
GSC
3 - 4
RAP
15%
15%
71%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
RAP
1 - 0
AUS
72%
14%
14%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
RAP
5 - 5
FCW
87%
8%
5%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
VIE
1 - 1
RAP
43%
21%
37%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |