Post vs NAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
42.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 5
POS
38%
24%
38%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
POS
1 - 1
SCW
20%
22%
58%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
DON
4 - 1
POS
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
POS
3 - 0
GER
69%
19%
13%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FAV
2 - 5
POS
34%
26%
41%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
NAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 1
TEA
60%
21%
20%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 3
NAC
29%
22%
49%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 0
FIR
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SCW
2 - 2
NAC
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 0
DON
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |