Post vs Fortuna 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SIM
2 - 2
POS
82%
13%
5%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
WIE
0 - 3
POS
51%
24%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
POS
6 - 0
BIH
55%
23%
23%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
REN
0 - 3
POS
31%
25%
44%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
POS
1 - 0
MAN
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
BIH
40%
23%
38%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
REN
1 - 0
FOR
42%
23%
35%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 1
MAN
72%
15%
12%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
TEA
1 - 1
FOR
73%
17%
11%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 3
DON
58%
20%
22%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |