Possneck vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
49.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Possneck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
BUD
3 - 0
POS
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
POS
1 - 0
MAR
35%
25%
40%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
HAL
0 - 2
POS
78%
16%
7%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
POS
3 - 3
GER
19%
24%
57%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
BDR
2 - 1
POS
62%
21%
17%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
AUE
2 - 0
GWW
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
ZWI
0 - 1
AUE
40%
27%
34%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
AUE
3 - 0
SAN
74%
17%
10%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
CHE
0 - 0
AUE
60%
23%
17%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
AUE
1 - 1
PLA
36%
26%
39%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |