Portuguesa RJ vs Miguel Couto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
NOV
0 - 2
POR
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
AFC
59%
23%
19%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
POR
2 - 0
GOY
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
CGA
1 - 3
POR
75%
17%
9%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | +2 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
OLA
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Miguel Couto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
AFC
0 - 1
MIG
62%
21%
17%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
MIG
3 - 1
CGA
16%
21%
64%
|
27 | 64 | 37 | +2 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
VRE
2 - 1
MIG
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
MIG
2 - 2
ANG
37%
25%
38%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 1
MIG
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |