Portuguesa RJ vs EC São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
49.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
ECS
0 - 1
POR
60%
24%
16%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
POR
0 - 1
SAO
17%
26%
57%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
POR
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
FRI
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AME
0 - 0
POR
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
ECS
0 - 1
POR
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
ECS
0 - 0
VIL
68%
21%
11%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
ECS
41%
29%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ECS
0 - 1
SCI
19%
27%
55%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SCI
0 - 0
ECS
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |