Série D Brazil Final Stages Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Portuguesa RJ vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
21.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 1
POR
23%
26%
52%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CAX
1 - 1
POR
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
PAT
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PAT
0 - 0
POR
24%
31%
45%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
POR
4 - 0
LTD
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CAX
1 - 1
POR
45%
29%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CEI
0 - 0
CAX
32%
30%
39%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CAX
0 - 0
CEI
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CAX
1 - 1
INT
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
INT
0 - 1
CAX
32%
30%
38%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |