Portuguesa FC vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
CFC
1 - 1
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
POL
1 - 5
POR
14%
25%
61%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
MIR
0 - 3
POR
32%
32%
36%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
POR
2 - 2
LLA
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
POR
0 - 0
MON
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
POL
1 - 5
POR
14%
25%
61%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
POL
1 - 2
ATL
16%
23%
61%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
POL
0 - 2
ZAM
22%
25%
53%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
PDB
4 - 0
POL
63%
19%
19%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
POL
0 - 0
FRO
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |