Portugal U18 vs Bulgaria U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
POR
2 - 1
HUN
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1997 |
POR
3 - 1
SVK
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1997 |
POR
3 - 0
ENG
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1997 |
ENG
2 - 1
POR
24%
24%
52%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1996 |
POR
5 - 0
TUR
57%
23%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Bulgaria U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
SVK
2 - 1
BGR
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1997 |
HUN
4 - 1
BGR
68%
20%
13%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1997 |
BGR
1 - 3
HUN
39%
27%
35%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1997 |
HUN
1 - 0
BGR
63%
20%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1996 |
ARM
0 - 8
BGR
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |