Portugal U21 vs Cabo Verde U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
10%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
3.5%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
POR
3 - 1
SUI
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
POR
4 - 1
ESP
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
POR
0 - 1
UKR
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
POR
2 - 2
IRL
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
ENG
2 - 0
POR
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cabo Verde U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
POR
2 - 0
CPV
86%
11%
4%
|
9 | 76 | 67 | 0 |