Portugal U21 vs Polonia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
POR
5 - 1
NOR
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
POR
5 - 2
SUI
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
CRO
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2013 |
IRL
1 - 2
POR
21%
25%
55%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
POR
0 - 1
SWE
60%
22%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Polonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
SWE
3 - 1
POL
63%
21%
17%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
POL
3 - 1
TUR
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
NOR
4 - 2
POL
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
POL
2 - 0
MLT
76%
16%
9%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
POL
4 - 1
LVA
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |