Portugal U21 vs Noruega U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
ROU
0 - 2
POR
17%
21%
62%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
JPN
86%
10%
4%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
POR
5 - 1
CZE
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
POR
4 - 1
GEO
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
POR
2 - 1
GRC
82%
13%
5%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Noruega U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NED
3 - 0
NOR
64%
20%
17%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
CZE
0 - 4
NOR
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FRA
1 - 1
NOR
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
ESP
3 - 0
NOR
80%
13%
7%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NOR
3 - 2
SUI
35%
24%
41%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |