Portugal U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
NIR
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
FIN
76%
17%
8%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
POR
2 - 0
CPV
87%
10%
4%
|
76 | 9 | 67 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
POR
3 - 1
SUI
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
POR
4 - 1
ESP
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
LTU
2 - 3
GEO
38%
26%
37%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
LTU
0 - 1
GRC
15%
21%
64%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
BLR
4 - 1
LTU
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
LTU
0 - 3
IRL
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
LTU
0 - 3
SCO
29%
25%
47%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |