Portugal U21 vs Grecia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ENG
1 - 0
POR
55%
23%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
MKD
1 - 1
POR
13%
20%
68%
|
76 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
GRC
2 - 1
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
POR
4 - 1
LTU
82%
12%
5%
|
76 | 44 | 32 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
NIR
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Grecia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
GRC
1 - 0
LTU
80%
13%
6%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
GRC
2 - 1
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
GRC
1 - 1
ENG
31%
26%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
SVK
1 - 0
GRC
32%
25%
43%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
LTU
0 - 1
GRC
15%
21%
64%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |