Portugal U21 vs Spain U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
POR
0 - 1
UKR
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
POR
2 - 2
IRL
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
ENG
2 - 0
POR
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
POR
2 - 3
CZE
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
POR
0 - 2
NED
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
ESP
3 - 1
SUI
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SUI
2 - 1
ESP
26%
27%
47%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
ESP
2 - 0
RUS
80%
13%
7%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
KAZ
1 - 2
ESP
14%
22%
64%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
RUS
1 - 2
ESP
23%
25%
52%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |