Portugal U21 vs Scotland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
UKR
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
POL
0 - 0
POR
21%
24%
55%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
MKD
83%
12%
5%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
POR
3 - 1
ALB
81%
13%
5%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
RUS
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Scotland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
AUT
3 - 2
SCO
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
SCO
3 - 0
LUX
79%
14%
7%
|
64 | 25 | 39 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
SCO
0 - 1
BEL
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2012 |
BGR
2 - 2
SCO
38%
27%
36%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
SCO
1 - 4
ITA
18%
24%
59%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |