Portugal U21 vs Croatia U21 analysis

Portugal U21 Croatia U21
80 ELO 67
5.8% Tilt 9.9%
284º General ELO ranking 1380º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
65.2%
Portugal U21
19.3%
Draw
15.4%
Croatia U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
Portugal U21
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.4%
Win probability
Croatia U21
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Portugal U21
+1%
-10%
Croatia U21

ELO progression

Portugal U21
Croatia U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Portugal U21
Portugal U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2020
PRT
Portugal U21
2 - 1
Netherlands U21
NLD
59%
22%
19%
80 72 8 0
15 Nov. 2020
PRT
Portugal U21
2 - 1
Cyprus U21
CYP
87%
10%
3%
80 44 36 0
12 Nov. 2020
PRT
Portugal U21
3 - 0
Belarus U21
BLR
86%
11%
3%
80 48 32 0
13 Oct. 2020
GIB
Gibraltar U21s
0 - 3
Portugal U21
PRT
5%
13%
82%
80 39 41 0
09 Oct. 2020
PRT
Portugal U21
4 - 1
Norway U21
NOR
77%
15%
8%
80 59 21 0

Matches

Croatia U21
Croatia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2020
HRV
Croatia U21
7 - 0
Lithuania U21
LTU
87%
10%
3%
67 42 25 0
12 Nov. 2020
SCT
Scotland U21
2 - 2
Croatia U21
HRV
17%
21%
62%
67 56 11 0
13 Oct. 2020
GRC
Greece U21
0 - 1
Croatia U21
HRV
25%
22%
53%
67 59 8 0
08 Oct. 2020
HRV
Croatia U21
10 - 0
San Marino U21
SMR
89%
9%
2%
67 13 54 0
07 Sep. 2020
CZE
Czech Republic U21
0 - 0
Croatia U21
HRV
47%
24%
29%
67 70 3 0
X