Portugal U21 vs Germany U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
DEN
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
IRL
81%
14%
6%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
POR
3 - 1
SWE
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
MKD
82%
13%
6%
|
76 | 45 | 31 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
POR
0 - 1
ENG
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
GER
2 - 2
ITA
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
NED
1 - 3
GER
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
GRC
0 - 0
GER
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
GER
2 - 0
ENG
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2010 |
GER
2 - 1
UKR
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |