Portugal U20 vs Uruguay U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
40%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
POR
2 - 0
UZB
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
ENG
78%
16%
6%
|
68 | 34 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
ENG
78%
16%
7%
|
68 | 30 | 38 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
POR
2 - 3
GHA
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
POR
5 - 0
CUB
67%
20%
14%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
UZB
1 - 0
URU
13%
18%
69%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 1
URU
42%
25%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ARG
2 - 1
URU
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
URU
0 - 0
COL
48%
24%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2015 |
URU
2 - 0
PAR
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |