Portugal U20 vs Suiza U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
FIN
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
FIN
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
SVK
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
SVK
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 2
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Suiza U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
SUI
1 - 2
POL
43%
24%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 1
SUI
46%
24%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
GER
4 - 1
SUI
70%
18%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
POL
0 - 1
SUI
51%
23%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SUI
1 - 2
GER
26%
23%
51%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |