Portugal U20 vs Rumanía U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
POR
2 - 2
CHN
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
POR
1 - 2
CHN
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2009 |
POR
6 - 0
QAT
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
FRA
1 - 0
POR
21%
23%
55%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2009 |
POR
0 - 1
CHI
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Rumanía U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
ROU
1 - 0
ENG
85%
10%
5%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
ROU
0 - 1
GER
61%
20%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
URU
1 - 2
ROU
79%
13%
8%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1981 |
ITA
0 - 1
ROU
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1981 |
ROU
1 - 0
KOR
63%
19%
17%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |