Portugal U20 vs Eslovaquia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
SVK
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 2
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
FRA
0 - 2
POR
32%
25%
44%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
ARG
20%
23%
57%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
GTM
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Eslovaquia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
SVK
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2011 |
FRA
2 - 0
SVK
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
LVA
0 - 6
SVK
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
KAZ
0 - 1
SVK
23%
23%
54%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
SVK
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |