Portugal U20 vs Egipto U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
NOR
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2010 |
POR
1 - 1
MNE
80%
14%
6%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
FRA
3 - 3
POR
30%
25%
46%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
BLR
86%
11%
4%
|
74 | 14 | 60 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
CPV
86%
10%
4%
|
74 | 8 | 66 | 0 |
Matches
Egipto U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
EGY
1 - 0
MLI
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
EGY
0 - 0
CMR
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
RSA
0 - 1
EGY
21%
23%
56%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
MLI
1 - 0
EGY
16%
22%
63%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
EGY
2 - 0
LSO
86%
10%
4%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | +1 |