Portugal U19 vs Hungria U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SMR
0 - 6
POR
14%
20%
66%
|
65 | 27 | 38 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
POR
9 - 1
FRO
80%
14%
6%
|
65 | 33 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
CRO
0 - 1
POR
44%
24%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
POR
3 - 0
EST
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 0
POR
38%
24%
38%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Hungria U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
HUN
3 - 1
FRO
80%
13%
7%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
HUN
5 - 0
SMR
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
MKD
2 - 4
HUN
12%
20%
69%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
HUN
1 - 6
TUR
38%
24%
39%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2011 |
GER
3 - 0
HUN
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |