Portugal U19 vs Gales U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
5.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
POR
0 - 1
GER
41%
24%
35%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
SRB
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
AUT
1 - 2
POR
27%
23%
50%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
HUN
1 - 6
POR
13%
19%
69%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
POR
3 - 0
ISR
76%
15%
9%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Gales U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
WAL
3 - 0
GRC
23%
23%
54%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
POR
3 - 2
WAL
84%
11%
5%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 1
WAL
70%
19%
12%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2013 |
WAL
6 - 0
MDA
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
NED
0 - 0
WAL
72%
17%
10%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |